Judge Brian J. Davis — Federal Sentencing Patterns

U.S. District Judge Brian J. Davis sits in the Middle District of Florida (MDFL) and granted a downward variance in 93 of 191 federal sentencings (48.7%) from FY2014–FY2025. This page shows aggregate sentencing patterns for Judge Brian J. Davis, including the most common reasons cited on the Statement of Reasons (SOR) for granting a downward variance.

Top reasons Judge Brian J. Davis grants downward variances

Reasons included across all guideline chapters (93 below-guideline cases out of 191 cases identified)

ReasonCasesAvg % Below Min
  1. 1.(5H1.6) Family ties and responsibilities50-56.4%
  2. 2.Remorse47-54.6%
  3. 3.(5H1.1) Age (Defendant's youth or old age)28-62.7%
  4. 4.Reduce Disparity (aggregated reason)26-54.2%
  5. 5.Mental and Emotional Conditions (aggregated reason)23-54.0%
  6. 6.(5H1.4) Drug dependence and alcohol abuse23-47.7%
  7. 7.Acceptance of responsibility22-63.3%
  8. 8.Criminal History Issues (aggregated reason)21-45.8%
  9. 9.Lack of Youthful Guidance18-50.9%
  10. 10.(5K2.0) General aggravating or mitigating circumstance17-49.7%

Zone D sentencing variance — Judge Brian J. Davis

Imprisonment-only recommended sentencing zone (offense level 14+ at any criminal history). Of Judge Brian J. Davis's 150 Zone D sentencings, 71 (47.3%) fell below range.

Zone D · imprisonment recommended150 cases
  • Within range
    74(49.3%)
  • Below range
    71(47.3%)
    avg −45.0% below min
  • Above range
    5(3.3%)
    avg +98.2% above max

Need case-level analysis for Judge Brian J. Davis?

Want to see what those 93 below-guideline cases actually looked like? Just Metrics shows you the actual matched cases — same judge, same guideline chapter, same guideline range — and tells you what they did.

Just Metrics also surfaces Judge Brian J. Davis's trial tax (sentences after trial vs. plea) and the average §5K1.1 cooperation discount.

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