Judge David Wayne Dugan — Federal Sentencing Patterns

U.S. District Judge David Wayne Dugan sits in the Southern District of Illinois (SDIL) and granted a downward variance in 21 of 108 federal sentencings (19.4%) from FY2017–FY2025. This page shows aggregate sentencing patterns for Judge David Wayne Dugan, including the most common reasons cited on the Statement of Reasons (SOR) for granting a downward variance.

Top reasons Judge David Wayne Dugan grants downward variances

Reasons included across all guideline chapters (21 below-guideline cases out of 108 cases identified)

ReasonCasesAvg % Below Min
  1. 1.Acceptance of responsibility12-46.2%
  2. 2.Remorse11-49.9%
  3. 3.(5H1.4) Drug dependence and alcohol abuse11-19.4%
  4. 4.(5H1.6) Family ties and responsibilities10-45.1%
  5. 5.Nonviolent Offense9-57.4%
  6. 6.(5H1.5) Previous employment record8-42.1%
  7. 7.(5H1.1) Age (Defendant's youth or old age)7-32.7%
  8. 8.Mental and Emotional Conditions (aggregated reason)5-16.8%
  9. 9.Mule/Role in the offense3-71.3%
  10. 10.Conduct on Release/Bond/Supervision3-50.9%

Zone D sentencing variance — Judge David Wayne Dugan

Imprisonment-only recommended sentencing zone (offense level 14+ at any criminal history). Of Judge David Wayne Dugan's 90 Zone D sentencings, 16 (17.8%) fell below range.

Zone D · imprisonment recommended90 cases
  • Within range
    61(67.8%)
  • Below range
    16(17.8%)
    avg −25.5% below min
  • Above range
    13(14.4%)
    avg +34.5% above max

Need case-level analysis for Judge David Wayne Dugan?

Want to see what those 21 below-guideline cases actually looked like? Just Metrics shows you the actual matched cases — same judge, same guideline chapter, same guideline range — and tells you what they did.

Just Metrics also surfaces Judge David Wayne Dugan's trial tax (sentences after trial vs. plea) and the average §5K1.1 cooperation discount.

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