Judge Douglas L. Rayes — Federal Sentencing Patterns

U.S. District Judge Douglas L. Rayes sits in the District of Arizona (DAZ) and granted a downward variance in 208 of 346 federal sentencings (60.1%) from FY2014–FY2025. This page shows aggregate sentencing patterns for Judge Douglas L. Rayes, including the most common reasons cited on the Statement of Reasons (SOR) for granting a downward variance.

Top reasons Judge Douglas L. Rayes grants downward variances

Reasons included across all guideline chapters (208 below-guideline cases out of 346 cases identified)

ReasonCasesAvg % Below Min
  1. 1.Reduce Disparity (aggregated reason)81-37.6%
  2. 2.(5H1.1) Age (Defendant's youth or old age)50-53.4%
  3. 3.(5K3.1) Early Disposition. Fast Track program38-43.4%
  4. 4.Criminal History Issues (aggregated reason)35-43.3%
  5. 5.(5H1.6) Family ties and responsibilities26-45.4%
  6. 6.Mule/Role in the offense25-40.5%
  7. 7.(5H1.5) Previous employment record14-53.4%
  8. 8.(5K2.20) Aberrant Behavior11-73.0%
  9. 9.Mental and Emotional Conditions (aggregated reason)11-65.6%
  10. 10.Time Served9-29.7%

Zone D sentencing variance — Judge Douglas L. Rayes

Imprisonment-only recommended sentencing zone (offense level 14+ at any criminal history). Of Judge Douglas L. Rayes's 283 Zone D sentencings, 169 (59.7%) fell below range.

Zone D · imprisonment recommended283 cases
  • Within range
    94(33.2%)
  • Below range
    169(59.7%)
    avg −38.3% below min
  • Above range
    20(7.1%)
    avg +49.0% above max

Need case-level analysis for Judge Douglas L. Rayes?

Want to see what those 208 below-guideline cases actually looked like? Just Metrics shows you the actual matched cases — same judge, same guideline chapter, same guideline range — and tells you what they did.

Just Metrics also surfaces Judge Douglas L. Rayes's trial tax (sentences after trial vs. plea) and the average §5K1.1 cooperation discount.

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