Judge Douglas L. Rayes — Federal Sentencing Patterns

U.S. District Judge Douglas L. Rayes sits in the District of Arizona (DAZ) and granted a downward variance in 209 of 347 federal sentencings (60.2%) from FY2014–FY2025. This page shows aggregate sentencing patterns for Judge Douglas L. Rayes, including the most common reasons cited on the Statement of Reasons (SOR) for granting a downward variance.

Top reasons Judge Douglas L. Rayes grants downward variances

Reasons included across all guideline chapters (209 below-guideline cases out of 347 cases identified)

ReasonCasesAvg % Below Min
  1. 1.Reduce Disparity (aggregated reason)82-37.7%
  2. 2.(5H1.1) Age (Defendant's youth or old age)50-53.4%
  3. 3.(5K3.1) Early Disposition. Fast Track program38-43.4%
  4. 4.Criminal History Issues (aggregated reason)35-43.3%
  5. 5.(5H1.6) Family ties and responsibilities26-45.4%
  6. 6.Mule/Role in the offense25-40.5%
  7. 7.(5H1.5) Previous employment record15-52.8%
  8. 8.(5K2.20) Aberrant Behavior11-73.0%
  9. 9.Mental and Emotional Conditions (aggregated reason)11-65.6%
  10. 10.Time Served9-29.7%

Zone D sentencing variance — Judge Douglas L. Rayes

Imprisonment-only recommended sentencing zone (offense level 14+ at any criminal history). Of Judge Douglas L. Rayes's 284 Zone D sentencings, 170 (59.9%) fell below range.

Zone D · imprisonment recommended284 cases
  • Within range
    94(33.1%)
  • Below range
    170(59.9%)
    avg −38.3% below min
  • Above range
    20(7.0%)
    avg +49.0% above max

Need case-level analysis for Judge Douglas L. Rayes?

Want to see what those 209 below-guideline cases actually looked like? Just Metrics shows you the actual matched cases — same judge, same guideline chapter, same guideline range — and tells you what they did.

Just Metrics also surfaces Judge Douglas L. Rayes's trial tax (sentences after trial vs. plea) and the average §5K1.1 cooperation discount.

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