Judge J. Paul Oetken — Federal Sentencing Patterns

U.S. District Judge J. Paul Oetken sits in the Southern District of New York (SDNY) and granted a downward variance in 119 of 145 federal sentencings (82.1%) from FY2012–FY2025. This page shows aggregate sentencing patterns for Judge J. Paul Oetken, including the most common reasons cited on the Statement of Reasons (SOR) for granting a downward variance.

Top reasons Judge J. Paul Oetken grants downward variances

Reasons included across all guideline chapters (119 below-guideline cases out of 145 cases identified)

ReasonCasesAvg % Below Min
  1. 1.Reduce Disparity (aggregated reason)75-65.9%
  2. 2.Remorse56-66.9%
  3. 3.Nonviolent Offense52-70.1%
  4. 4.Acceptance of responsibility52-65.5%
  5. 5.Mule/Role in the offense44-67.1%
  6. 6.(5H1.6) Family ties and responsibilities35-69.5%
  7. 7.Provide Restitution to any victims of the offense31-66.6%
  8. 8.(5K2.20) Aberrant Behavior21-82.7%
  9. 9.(5H1.1) Age (Defendant's youth or old age)21-62.8%
  10. 10.Avoid unwarranted sentencing disparities among defendants15-57.7%

Zone D sentencing variance — Judge J. Paul Oetken

Imprisonment-only recommended sentencing zone (offense level 14+ at any criminal history). Of Judge J. Paul Oetken's 117 Zone D sentencings, 101 (86.3%) fell below range.

Zone D · imprisonment recommended117 cases
  • Within range
    16(13.7%)
  • Below range
    101(86.3%)
    avg −63.1% below min
  • Above range
    0(0.0%)

Need case-level analysis for Judge J. Paul Oetken?

Want to see what those 119 below-guideline cases actually looked like? Just Metrics shows you the actual matched cases — same judge, same guideline chapter, same guideline range — and tells you what they did.

Just Metrics also surfaces Judge J. Paul Oetken's trial tax (sentences after trial vs. plea) and the average §5K1.1 cooperation discount.

EXPLORE JUST METRICS →