Judge Jeffery Paul Hopkins — Federal Sentencing Patterns

U.S. District Judge Jeffery Paul Hopkins sits in the Southern District of Ohio (SDOH) and granted a downward variance in 14 of 21 federal sentencings (66.7%) from FY2023–FY2025. This page shows aggregate sentencing patterns for Judge Jeffery Paul Hopkins, including the most common reasons cited on the Statement of Reasons (SOR) for granting a downward variance.

Top reasons Judge Jeffery Paul Hopkins grants downward variances

Reasons included across all guideline chapters (14 below-guideline cases out of 21 cases identified)

ReasonCasesAvg % Below Min
  1. 1.Waiver of appeal11-54.0%
  2. 2.Early Plea9-41.6%
  3. 3.Acceptance of responsibility9-39.4%
  4. 4.Remorse7-45.0%
  5. 5.Conduct on Release/Bond/Supervision6-79.7%
  6. 6.(5H1.6) Family ties and responsibilities6-72.8%
  7. 7.Waiver of indictment6-65.0%
  8. 8.Nonviolent Offense6-57.7%
  9. 9.Reduce Disparity (aggregated reason)5-41.8%
  10. 10.Rehabilitation4-89.2%

Zone D sentencing variance — Judge Jeffery Paul Hopkins

Imprisonment-only recommended sentencing zone (offense level 14+ at any criminal history). Of Judge Jeffery Paul Hopkins's 19 Zone D sentencings, 12 (63.2%) fell below range.

Zone D · imprisonment recommended19 cases
  • Within range
    7(36.8%)
  • Below range
    12(63.2%)
    avg −57.6% below min
  • Above range
    0(0.0%)

Need case-level analysis for Judge Jeffery Paul Hopkins?

Want to see what those 14 below-guideline cases actually looked like? Just Metrics shows you the actual matched cases — same judge, same guideline chapter, same guideline range — and tells you what they did.

Just Metrics also surfaces Judge Jeffery Paul Hopkins's trial tax (sentences after trial vs. plea) and the average §5K1.1 cooperation discount.

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