Judge John G. Koeltl — Federal Sentencing Patterns

U.S. District Judge John G. Koeltl sits in the Southern District of New York (SDNY) and granted a downward variance in 129 of 157 federal sentencings (82.2%) from FY2012–FY2025. This page shows aggregate sentencing patterns for Judge John G. Koeltl, including the most common reasons cited on the Statement of Reasons (SOR) for granting a downward variance.

Top reasons Judge John G. Koeltl grants downward variances

Reasons included across all guideline chapters (129 below-guideline cases out of 157 cases identified)

ReasonCasesAvg % Below Min
  1. 1.Avoid unwarranted sentencing disparities among defendants46-44.5%
  2. 2.(5H1.6) Family ties and responsibilities43-45.6%
  3. 3.Criminal History Issues (aggregated reason)27-48.9%
  4. 4.Conditions of Confinement25-27.1%
  5. 5.Lack of Youthful Guidance23-36.1%
  6. 6.(5K2.0) General aggravating or mitigating circumstance22-40.0%
  7. 7.(5H1.4) Physical condition13-53.3%
  8. 8.Mental and Emotional Conditions (aggregated reason)13-42.8%
  9. 9.(5H1.5) Previous employment record11-53.9%
  10. 10.Mule/Role in the offense11-48.9%

Zone D sentencing variance — Judge John G. Koeltl

Imprisonment-only recommended sentencing zone (offense level 14+ at any criminal history). Of Judge John G. Koeltl's 133 Zone D sentencings, 113 (85.0%) fell below range.

Zone D · imprisonment recommended133 cases
  • Within range
    17(12.8%)
  • Below range
    113(85.0%)
    avg −39.2% below min
  • Above range
    3(2.3%)
    avg +357.1% above max

Need case-level analysis for Judge John G. Koeltl?

Want to see what those 129 below-guideline cases actually looked like? Just Metrics shows you the actual matched cases — same judge, same guideline chapter, same guideline range — and tells you what they did.

Just Metrics also surfaces Judge John G. Koeltl's trial tax (sentences after trial vs. plea) and the average §5K1.1 cooperation discount.

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