Judge Manish Suresh Shah — Federal Sentencing Patterns

U.S. District Judge Manish Suresh Shah sits in the Northern District of Illinois (NDIL) and granted a downward variance in 15 of 18 federal sentencings (83.3%) from FY2017–FY2025. This page shows aggregate sentencing patterns for Judge Manish Suresh Shah, including the most common reasons cited on the Statement of Reasons (SOR) for granting a downward variance.

Top reasons Judge Manish Suresh Shah grants downward variances

Reasons included across all guideline chapters (15 below-guideline cases out of 18 cases identified)

ReasonCasesAvg % Below Min
  1. 1.Rehabilitation6-47.0%
  2. 2.Criminal History Issues (aggregated reason)5-45.3%
  3. 3.(5H1.1) Age (Defendant's youth or old age)5-38.2%
  4. 4.(5H1.4) Physical condition4-43.9%
  5. 5.Nonviolent Offense4-37.5%
  6. 6.Acceptance of responsibility3-72.3%
  7. 7.Remorse3-61.9%
  8. 8.Mental and Emotional Conditions (aggregated reason)3-36.8%

Zone D sentencing variance — Judge Manish Suresh Shah

Imprisonment-only recommended sentencing zone (offense level 14+ at any criminal history). Of Judge Manish Suresh Shah's 17 Zone D sentencings, 15 (88.2%) fell below range.

Zone D · imprisonment recommended17 cases
  • Within range
    1(5.9%)
  • Below range
    15(88.2%)
    avg −45.4% below min
  • Above range
    1(5.9%)
    avg +9.0% above max

Need case-level analysis for Judge Manish Suresh Shah?

Want to see what those 15 below-guideline cases actually looked like? Just Metrics shows you the actual matched cases — same judge, same guideline chapter, same guideline range — and tells you what they did.

Just Metrics also surfaces Judge Manish Suresh Shah's trial tax (sentences after trial vs. plea) and the average §5K1.1 cooperation discount.

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