Judge Michael J. Davis — Federal Sentencing Patterns

U.S. District Judge Michael J. Davis sits in the District of Minnesota (DMN) and granted a downward variance in 128 of 219 federal sentencings (58.4%) from FY2012–FY2025. This page shows aggregate sentencing patterns for Judge Michael J. Davis, including the most common reasons cited on the Statement of Reasons (SOR) for granting a downward variance.

Top reasons Judge Michael J. Davis grants downward variances

Reasons included across all guideline chapters (128 below-guideline cases out of 219 cases identified)

ReasonCasesAvg % Below Min
  1. 1.Avoid unwarranted sentencing disparities among defendants58-52.7%
  2. 2.Reduce Disparity (aggregated reason)49-47.2%
  3. 3.Criminal History Issues (aggregated reason)46-43.5%
  4. 4.Provide Restitution to any victims of the offense45-58.2%
  5. 5.Acceptance of responsibility36-47.6%
  6. 6.(5H1.6) Family ties and responsibilities24-53.1%
  7. 7.Remorse22-53.5%
  8. 8.Mule/Role in the offense17-69.3%
  9. 9.(5H1.4) Drug dependence and alcohol abuse17-48.1%
  10. 10.(5H1.4) Physical condition15-46.1%

Zone D sentencing variance — Judge Michael J. Davis

Imprisonment-only recommended sentencing zone (offense level 14+ at any criminal history). Of Judge Michael J. Davis's 195 Zone D sentencings, 118 (60.5%) fell below range.

Zone D · imprisonment recommended195 cases
  • Within range
    67(34.4%)
  • Below range
    118(60.5%)
    avg −41.2% below min
  • Above range
    10(5.1%)
    avg +62.4% above max

Need case-level analysis for Judge Michael J. Davis?

Want to see what those 128 below-guideline cases actually looked like? Just Metrics shows you the actual matched cases — same judge, same guideline chapter, same guideline range — and tells you what they did.

Just Metrics also surfaces Judge Michael J. Davis's trial tax (sentences after trial vs. plea) and the average §5K1.1 cooperation discount.

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