Judge P. Kevin Castel — Federal Sentencing Patterns

U.S. District Judge P. Kevin Castel sits in the Southern District of New York (SDNY) and granted a downward variance in 156 of 249 federal sentencings (62.7%) from FY2012–FY2025. This page shows aggregate sentencing patterns for Judge P. Kevin Castel, including the most common reasons cited on the Statement of Reasons (SOR) for granting a downward variance.

Top reasons Judge P. Kevin Castel grants downward variances

Reasons included across all guideline chapters (156 below-guideline cases out of 249 cases identified)

ReasonCasesAvg % Below Min
  1. 1.Reduce Disparity (aggregated reason)37-42.5%
  2. 2.Remorse30-34.1%
  3. 3.(5H1.1) Age (Defendant's youth or old age)28-44.1%
  4. 4.Lack of Youthful Guidance22-26.4%
  5. 5.(5H1.6) Family ties and responsibilities20-42.8%
  6. 6.Mule/Role in the offense17-40.3%
  7. 7.Mental and Emotional Conditions (aggregated reason)16-38.6%
  8. 8.Cooperation without motion (not §5K1.1) (aggregated reason)13-31.4%
  9. 9.Conditions of Confinement13-26.0%
  10. 10.Avoid unwarranted sentencing disparities among defendants12-51.2%

Zone D sentencing variance — Judge P. Kevin Castel

Imprisonment-only recommended sentencing zone (offense level 14+ at any criminal history). Of Judge P. Kevin Castel's 215 Zone D sentencings, 137 (63.7%) fell below range.

Zone D · imprisonment recommended215 cases
  • Within range
    67(31.2%)
  • Below range
    137(63.7%)
    avg −34.7% below min
  • Above range
    11(5.1%)
    avg +37.1% above max

Need case-level analysis for Judge P. Kevin Castel?

Want to see what those 156 below-guideline cases actually looked like? Just Metrics shows you the actual matched cases — same judge, same guideline chapter, same guideline range — and tells you what they did.

Just Metrics also surfaces Judge P. Kevin Castel's trial tax (sentences after trial vs. plea) and the average §5K1.1 cooperation discount.

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