Judge Raner Collins — Federal Sentencing Patterns

U.S. District Judge Raner Collins sits in the District of Arizona (DAZ) and granted a downward variance in 700 of 981 federal sentencings (71.4%) from FY2012–FY2025. This page shows aggregate sentencing patterns for Judge Raner Collins, including the most common reasons cited on the Statement of Reasons (SOR) for granting a downward variance.

Top reasons Judge Raner Collins grants downward variances

Reasons included across all guideline chapters (700 below-guideline cases out of 981 cases identified)

ReasonCasesAvg % Below Min
  1. 1.(5K3.1) Early Disposition. Fast Track program383-36.8%
  2. 2.(5K2.0) General aggravating or mitigating circumstance53-51.5%
  3. 3.Reduce Disparity (aggregated reason)52-55.7%
  4. 4.Pursuant to a NONbinding (or unknown type) plea agreement41-48.3%
  5. 5.(5H1.6) Family ties and responsibilities33-67.9%
  6. 6.(5H1.1) Age (Defendant's youth or old age)29-73.7%
  7. 7.Criminal History Issues (aggregated reason)28-62.9%
  8. 8.Avoid unwarranted sentencing disparities among defendants24-54.7%
  9. 9.Mule/Role in the offense22-57.4%
  10. 10.(5H1.4) Drug dependence and alcohol abuse15-51.9%

Zone D sentencing variance — Judge Raner Collins

Imprisonment-only recommended sentencing zone (offense level 14+ at any criminal history). Of Judge Raner Collins's 757 Zone D sentencings, 585 (77.3%) fell below range.

Zone D · imprisonment recommended757 cases
  • Within range
    140(18.5%)
  • Below range
    585(77.3%)
    avg −42.3% below min
  • Above range
    32(4.2%)
    avg +44.0% above max

Need case-level analysis for Judge Raner Collins?

Want to see what those 700 below-guideline cases actually looked like? Just Metrics shows you the actual matched cases — same judge, same guideline chapter, same guideline range — and tells you what they did.

Just Metrics also surfaces Judge Raner Collins's trial tax (sentences after trial vs. plea) and the average §5K1.1 cooperation discount.

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