Judge Susan Brnovich — Federal Sentencing Patterns

U.S. District Judge Susan Brnovich sits in the District of Arizona (DAZ) and granted a downward variance in 77 of 137 federal sentencings (56.2%) from FY2018–FY2025. This page shows aggregate sentencing patterns for Judge Susan Brnovich, including the most common reasons cited on the Statement of Reasons (SOR) for granting a downward variance.

Top reasons Judge Susan Brnovich grants downward variances

Reasons included across all guideline chapters (77 below-guideline cases out of 137 cases identified)

ReasonCasesAvg % Below Min
  1. 1.(5K3.1) Early Disposition. Fast Track program22-40.3%
  2. 2.(5H1.6) Family ties and responsibilities16-66.2%
  3. 3.Reduce Disparity (aggregated reason)12-46.8%
  4. 4.Mental and Emotional Conditions (aggregated reason)10-53.4%
  5. 5.Criminal History Issues (aggregated reason)9-41.5%
  6. 6.(5H1.4) Drug dependence and alcohol abuse7-48.3%
  7. 7.(5H1.1) Age (Defendant's youth or old age)7-43.2%
  8. 8.(5K2.20) Aberrant Behavior4-52.5%
  9. 9.(5H1.4) Physical condition3-76.2%
  10. 10.Acceptance of responsibility3-44.8%

Zone D sentencing variance — Judge Susan Brnovich

Imprisonment-only recommended sentencing zone (offense level 14+ at any criminal history). Of Judge Susan Brnovich's 106 Zone D sentencings, 54 (50.9%) fell below range.

Zone D · imprisonment recommended106 cases
  • Within range
    39(36.8%)
  • Below range
    54(50.9%)
    avg −40.7% below min
  • Above range
    13(12.3%)
    avg +66.6% above max

Need case-level analysis for Judge Susan Brnovich?

Want to see what those 77 below-guideline cases actually looked like? Just Metrics shows you the actual matched cases — same judge, same guideline chapter, same guideline range — and tells you what they did.

Just Metrics also surfaces Judge Susan Brnovich's trial tax (sentences after trial vs. plea) and the average §5K1.1 cooperation discount.

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