Judge T. S. Ellis III — Federal Sentencing Patterns

U.S. District Judge T. S. Ellis III sits in the Eastern District of Virginia (EDVA) and granted a downward variance in 192 of 317 federal sentencings (60.6%) from FY2012–FY2023. This page shows aggregate sentencing patterns for Judge T. S. Ellis III, including the most common reasons cited on the Statement of Reasons (SOR) for granting a downward variance.

Top reasons Judge T. S. Ellis III grants downward variances

Reasons included across all guideline chapters (192 below-guideline cases out of 317 cases identified)

ReasonCasesAvg % Below Min
  1. 1.Avoid unwarranted sentencing disparities among defendants88-35.3%
  2. 2.Reduce Disparity (aggregated reason)64-31.7%
  3. 3.Provide Restitution to any victims of the offense23-33.7%
  4. 4.Acceptance of responsibility6-47.5%
  5. 5.Early Plea4-49.3%
  6. 6.Criminal History Issues (aggregated reason)4-31.4%
  7. 7.Waiver of indictment3-45.7%

Zone D sentencing variance — Judge T. S. Ellis III

Imprisonment-only recommended sentencing zone (offense level 14+ at any criminal history). Of Judge T. S. Ellis III's 210 Zone D sentencings, 161 (76.7%) fell below range.

Zone D · imprisonment recommended210 cases
  • Within range
    42(20.0%)
  • Below range
    161(76.7%)
    avg −33.1% below min
  • Above range
    7(3.3%)
    avg +16.4% above max

Need case-level analysis for Judge T. S. Ellis III?

Want to see what those 192 below-guideline cases actually looked like? Just Metrics shows you the actual matched cases — same judge, same guideline chapter, same guideline range — and tells you what they did.

Just Metrics also surfaces Judge T. S. Ellis III's trial tax (sentences after trial vs. plea) and the average §5K1.1 cooperation discount.

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